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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 16, March, 2026 at 07:35

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Overview of cold weather over the next 5 days

A transition to milder conditions takes place through the period. Outbreaks of rain are likely initially across many central and northern areas, but from midweek high pressure becomes dominant over the UK, bringing generally dry and settled weather with mostly light winds and plenty of sunshine. Some cooler nights are possible toward the end of the week, but becoming rather warm by day. Low-impact thresholds are not expected to be reached.


Overview of cold weather over the next 6 to 15 days

Mainly fine and dry conditions are expected, with high pressure remaining the dominant feature across the UK. Winds mostly light, although it may turn breezy at times across the far south. Temperatures are likely to stay near or slightly above normal, with some rather warm days along with some chilly nights. There is a low risk of a colder spell developing from mid-way through this period, but Low-impact thresholds are not expected to be reached.


Overview of cold weather over the next 16 to 30 days

High pressure is expected to remain dominant initially, bringing more fine and dry weather with mostly light winds. As we move into April, there is an increasing probability that conditions may turn more changeable at times. However, temperatures are forecast to stay around average or slightly above, and Low impact thresholds are still not expected to be reached.


Region Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 5 days (percentage) Probability of average temperatures of 2 degrees or below for 48 hours or more in the next 6–15 days (percentage) Probability of average temperatures of 2 degrees or below for 48 hours or more in the next 16–30 days (percentage) General comments on weather

NE 5 10 10 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NW 5 10 10 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

YH 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EM 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

WM 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

EoE 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

Lon 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SE 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

SW 5 5 5 Cold health thresholds are not expected to be reached.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk