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Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 23, February, 2026 at 07:39

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Overview of cold weather over the next 5 days

Mild for all parts of England this week, perhaps very mild at times, but occasionally unsettled with spells of rain and stronger winds. Temperatures mostly above normal for the time of year, although cooler air is likely to arrive from the northwest during Friday, bringing temperatures nearer to average.

Overview of cold weather over the next 6 to 15 days

Mostly likely staying changeable with further spells of rain and showers, and strong winds. Temperatures are likely to be trending nearer normal for the time of year. This will bring an increased potential for overnight frost and some brief cooler spells, but there is currently little indication for any prolonged cold.

Overview of cold weather over the next 16 to 30 days

As we move later into March, confidence becomes very low, but the unsettled weather conditions may become a little more settled, at least in the south, with a greater risk of overnight frost and cooler intervals.

Region

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 5 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 6–15 days (%)

Probability of average temperatures of 2° or below for 48 hours or more in the next 16–30 days (%)

General comments on weather

NE

5

30

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

NW

5

30

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

YH

5

30

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

EM

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

WM

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

EoE

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

Lon

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

SE

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

SW

5

20

20

Temperatures above threshold this week.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to enquiries@ukhsa.gov.uk